Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3018
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
G4 3018 · SRQ → MDT
departs 3:51 PM ET · arrives 6:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.7 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MDT at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 4.49 in
MDT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.