G4 3205 · ATW → SFB

took off 11:01 AM CT · landed 2:24 PM ET (scheduled 10:59 AM CT → 2:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ATW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

SFB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3205 · ATW → SFB

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFB?