Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3209
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
G4 3209 · SFB → ATW
departs 8:42 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at ATW that day
↑
SFB is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.