G4 3215 · AZA → PVU

departs 11:30 AM MT · arrives 2:05 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVU?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVU (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3215 · AZA → PVU

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVU?