G4 393 · PIE → CVG

took off 4:54 PM ET · landed 6:55 PM ET (scheduled 4:45 PM ET → 7:06 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CVG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.20 in

CVG (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 393 · PIE → CVG

Odds over time

How late did it get to CVG?