Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4751 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

G4 4751 · BWG → ELP

took off 6:20 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at ELP that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWG

↑ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ELP (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 4751 · BWG → ELP

Odds over time