G4 491 · FWA → FLL

took off 12:54 PM ET · expected to land 3:13 PM ET (scheduled 12:47 PM ET → 3:31 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

Weather at each end

FWA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 491 · FWA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?