G4 492 · FLL → FWA

took off 9:06 AM ET · landed 11:35 AM ET (scheduled 8:59 AM ET → 11:47 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FWA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.18 in

FWA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 492 · FLL → FWA

Odds over time

How late did it get to FWA?