G4 521 · PGD → TYS

took off 2:02 PM ET · landed 3:33 PM ET (scheduled 1:37 PM ET → 3:49 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TYS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

TYS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 521 · PGD → TYS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TYS?