G4 553 · GRR → PIE

took off 8:05 AM ET · landed 10:18 AM ET (scheduled 7:59 AM ET → 10:42 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7am departures from GRR are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.35 in

PIE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 553 · GRR → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?