G4 598 · PGD → IND

took off 2:37 PM ET · landed 4:44 PM ET (scheduled 2:15 PM ET → 4:51 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IND?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

IND (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 598 · PGD → IND

Odds over time

How late did it get to IND?