G4 657 · AZA → FWA

departs 1:36 PM MT · arrives 8:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into FWA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FWA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 657 · AZA → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?