G4 669 · RAP → AZA

departs 11:23 AM MT · arrives 1:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RAP

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 669 · RAP → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?