G4 673 · RFD → AZA

departs 2:08 PM CT · arrives 3:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at RFD that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

RFD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.70 in

AZA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 673 · RFD → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?