G4 688 · STC → AZA

departs 2:18 PM CT · arrives 3:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at STC that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

Weather at each end

STC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 688 · STC → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?