Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 8003 LANDED 1:13 PM ET, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

G4 8003 · ELP → GRR

took off 8:39 AM MT · landed 1:13 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into GRR at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 8003 · ELP → GRR

Odds over time