Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 8020 LANDED 4:34 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

G4 8020 · CVG → BWI

took off 3:20 PM ET · landed 4:34 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 8020 · CVG → BWI

Odds over time