Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 854 LANDED 9:32 AM ET, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

G4 854 · PGD → ABE

took off 7:01 AM ET · landed 9:32 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

ABE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 854 · PGD → ABE

Odds over time