G4 883 · OMA → PGD

took off 11:33 AM CT · landed 3:15 PM ET (scheduled 11:31 AM CT → 3:34 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PGD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PGD at that hour are often late

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.57 in

PGD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 883 · OMA → PGD

Odds over time

How late did it get to PGD?