G4 892 · PIA → PGD

departs 10:27 AM CT · arrives 2:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIA

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PIA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

PGD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 892 · PIA → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?