G4 913 · LEX → PGD

took off 6:03 PM ET · landed 7:50 PM ET (scheduled 5:35 PM ET → 7:51 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PGD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 913 · LEX → PGD

Odds over time

How late did it get to PGD?