G4 928 · SPI → PGD

departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 8:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from SPI are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SPI

Weather at each end

SPI (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 928 · SPI → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?