G4 976 · EYW → PIE

took off 1:27 PM ET · landed 2:16 PM ET (scheduled 12:51 PM ET → 2:08 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ EYW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.92 in

PIE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 976 · EYW → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?