G4 991 · MLI → PIE

took off 11:33 AM CT · landed 2:45 PM ET (scheduled 11:28 AM CT → 3:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MLI that day

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MLI (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.57 in

PIE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 991 · MLI → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?