Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3358 · DFW → XNA
departs 4:58 PM CT · arrives 6:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at XNA that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 10,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.