Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3358 · XNA → DFW
departs 6:57 PM CT · arrives 8:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
53%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +40 pts in 24h
+40 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at XNA that day
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 10,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.