MQ 3399 · DFW → BHM

departs 9:25 PM CT · arrives 11:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3399 · DFW → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?