MQ 3442 · ORD → RST

departs 10:24 PM CT · arrives 11:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RST more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RST?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ RST usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

RST (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3442 · ORD → RST

Odds over time

How late will it get to RST?