Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3460 · ALB → ORD
departs 6:46 AM ET · arrives 8:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from ALB are usually not late
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.