MQ 3485 · CLL → DFW

departs 5:59 PM CT · arrives 7:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±14 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 5pm departures from CLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3485 · CLL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?