Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3529 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:04 PM CT, ETA 3:15 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

MQ 3529 · MFE → DFW

took off 2:04 PM CT · expected to land 3:15 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3529 · MFE → DFW

Odds over time