MQ 3532 · RAP → DFW

departs 5:02 PM MT · arrives 8:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

80% chance · ±0 pts +43 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RAP

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3532 · RAP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?