Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3554
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
MQ 3554 · GSO → DFW
departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 4:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 58%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO
Weather at each end
GSO (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.