MQ 3565 · PIA → ORD

departs 5:34 PM CT · arrives 6:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PIA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.16 in

ORD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3565 · PIA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?