MQ 3586 · DFW → ABQ

took off 10:57 AM CT · landed 11:26 AM MT (scheduled 10:51 AM CT → 11:50 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ABQ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3586 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late did it get to ABQ?