Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3598 LANDED 7:43 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

MQ 3598 · DFW → IAH

took off 7:03 AM CT · landed 7:43 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3598 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time