Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3691 LANDED 7:01 PM CT, ~36 MIN LATE

Wednesday, September 30

MQ 3691 · DFW → ICT

took off 6:08 PM CT · landed 7:01 PM CT (scheduled 5:07 PM CT → 6:30 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ICT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

ICT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3691 · DFW → ICT

Odds over time

How late did it get to ICT?