Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3701
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3701 · DFW → MLU
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MLU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MLU?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
11am departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MLU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
MLU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.