MQ 3775 · ORD → MLI

departs 10:54 PM CT · arrives 11:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +63 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
59%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

MLI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3775 · ORD → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?