Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3810 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

MQ 3810 · MTY → DFW

departs 6:13 AM CST · arrives 8:27 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3810 · MTY → DFW

Odds over time