Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3834
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3834 · DFW → TYR
departs 3:53 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 38%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+42 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
44%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +42 pts in 24h
+42 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at TYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +40 pts in 24h
+40 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
How late will it get to TYR?
On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
44%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
TYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
TYR (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.