Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3904
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3904 · DFW → LFT
departs 6:03 PM CT · arrives 7:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Sat 10/3 36%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LFT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to LFT?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LFT
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
LFT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.