Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3922 LANDED 6:34 PM ET, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

MQ 3922 · CMH → BOS

took off 4:57 PM ET · landed 6:34 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3922 · CMH → BOS

Odds over time