MQ 3926 · CLL → DFW

departs 10:51 AM CT · arrives 12:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from CLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3926 · CLL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?