Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3957 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, September 30

MQ 3957 · DFW → GRK

departs 9:30 PM CT · arrives 10:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRK?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
28%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ GRK usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

GRK (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3957 · DFW → GRK

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRK?