Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 4064 · DFW → CAE
departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 35%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
18%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at CAE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
How late will it get to CAE?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
18%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CAE
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
CAE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.