MQ 4318 · CID → DFW

departs 6:09 PM CT · arrives 8:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.20 in

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4318 · CID → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?