Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 9881 LANDED 6:21 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

MQ 9881 · MAO → FLL

took off · landed 6:21 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MAO

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MAO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

FLL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 9881 · MAO → FLL

Odds over time