OH 5479 · DSM → PHL

took off 1:15 PM CT · landed 4:27 PM ET (scheduled 1:18 PM CT → 5:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.31 in

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5479 · DSM → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?