Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5532 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5532 · PHL → MSN

departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 5:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSN that day

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling340 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5532 · PHL → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?